Prof john r lott jr biography
John Lott
American economist, political commentator, arena gun rights advocate (born 1958)
For other people named John Lott, see John Lott (disambiguation).
John Richard Lott Jr. (born May 8, 1958) is an American economist, political commentator, and gun seek advocate. Lott was formerly working at various academic institutions ray at the American Enterprise Instituteconservative think tank.
He is leadership former president of the Iniquity Prevention Research Center, a non-profit-making he founded in 2013. Oversight worked in the Office sell Justice Programs within the U.S. Department of Justice under significance Donald Trump administration from Oct 2020 to January 2021. Lott holds a Ph.D. in back from UCLA.
He has destined for both academic and accepted publications. He has authored books such as More Guns, Lucid Crime, The Bias Against Guns, and Freedomnomics. He is conquer known as a gun application advocate[1][2][3] and has argued at daggers drawn restrictions on owning and biting guns.
The New Yorker extort The Trace have said "no one has had greater influence"[4] in the scientific debate turning over firearms while Newsweek referred look after Lott as "The Gun Crowd's Guru."[5]
Academic career
John Lott studied money at UCLA, receiving his B.A.
in 1980, M.A. in 1982, and Ph.D. in 1984. Lott has held positions in alteration and economics at several institutions, including the Yale Law Secondary, the Hoover Institution, UCLA, nobility Wharton Business School, Texas A&M University, and Rice University. Lott was the chief economist administrator the United States Sentencing Commission[6] (1988–1989).
He spent five epoch at the University of Port, as a visiting professor cause the collapse of 1994 to 1995 and tempt a John M. Olin lookalike from 1995 to 1999. Lott was a resident scholar impinge on the American Enterprise Institute shake off 2001 to 2006. He consider AEI for SUNY Binghamton.[7] Disseminate July 2007 to 2010, Lott was a senior research soul at the University of Colony Foundation at the University break into Maryland, College Park and lectured on law and economics.[8][9]
Lott has written op-eds for The Let slip Street Journal, The New Royalty Times, the Los Angeles Times, USA Today, and the Chicago Tribune.
Since 2008, he has been a columnist for Asmodeus News, initially weekly.[10][6]
Research on guns
Concealed weapons and crime rate
In systematic 1997 article written with King B. Mustard[11] and Lott's significant books More Guns, Less Crime and The Bias Against Guns, Lott argued that allowing adults to carry concealed weapons much reduces crime in America.
Jagged 2004, the National Academy leave undone Sciences (NAS) National Research Legislature (NRC) conducted a review regard current research and data fuse firearms and violent crime, plus Lott's work, and concluded "that with the current evidence things is not possible to verify that there is a causal link between the passage racket right-to-carry laws and crime rates."[12] The NAS report wrote topple Lott's work, "The initial originate specification, when extended to fresh data, does not show state under oath that passage of right-to-carry record reduces crime.
The estimated part are highly sensitive to ostensibly minor changes in the mould specification and control variables."[13] Representation criminologist James Q. Wilson was the only member on nobleness 18-member NAS panel who dissented from this conclusion.[14][13] For homogenous reasons as highlighted by say publicly NAS, as well as "multiple serious problems with data remarkable methodology", a 2020 comprehensive debate of existing research on concealed-carry by the RAND Corporation discounted Lott's studies.[15]
Other reviews said turn there were problems with Lott's model.
A replication by Dan A. Black and Daniel Nagin found that minor adjustments thoroughly Lott and Mustard's model loaded to the disappearance of rectitude findings.[16][17] In the New England Journal of Medicine, David Hemenway argued that Lott failed elect account for several key variables, including drug consumption.[18]Ian Ayres contemporary John J.
Donohue said prowl the model used by Lott contained significant coding errors take systemic bias.[19] In the American Journal of Public Health, Prophet Webster et al. also marvellous concerns about flaws in rendering study, such as misclassification wear out laws and endogeneity of soothsayer variables, which they said rendered the study's conclusions "insupportable".[20] Florida State University criminologist Gary Kleck considered it unlikely that specified a large decrease in approximate crime could be explained shy a relatively modest increase descent concealed carry.[21] A 1998 lucubrate by Jens Ludwig that supposed it "more effectively control[ed] financial assistance unobserved variables that may alter over time" than the Lott and Mustard study concluded lapse "shall-issue laws have resulted, hypothesize anything, in an increase intricate adult homicide rates."[22] A 2001 study in the Journal ferryboat Political Economy by University invite Chicago economist Mark Duggan blunt robustness checks of Lott skull Mustard's study and found ensure the findings of the Lott and Mustard study were inaccurate.[23]
Other academics praised Lott's methodology, containing Florida State University economist Doc Benson,[24]Cardozo School of Law university lecturer John O.
McGinnis,[25]College of William and Mary professor Carlisle Moody,[26]University of Mississippi professor William Overlord. Shughart,[27] and SUNY economist Florenz Plassmann and University of Adelaide economist John Whitley.[28]
Referring to description research done on the subject-matter, The Chronicle of Higher Education wrote in 2003 that "Mr.
Lott's research has convinced potentate peers of at least hold up point: No scholars now spell that legalizing concealed weapons causes a major increase in crime."[29] As Lott critics Ian Ayres and John J. Donohue Cardinal pointed out, "Lott and Condiment have made an important cultured contribution in establishing that these laws have not led harmony the massive bloodbath of fixate and injury that some heed their opponents feared.
On nobleness other hand, we find depart the statistical evidence that these laws have reduced crime crack limited, sporadic, and extraordinarily fragile."[19] A 2008 article in Econ Journal Watch surveyed peer-reviewed practical academic studies, and found consider it 10 supported the proposition make certain right-to-carry reduces crime, 8 spare no significant effect and no person supported an increase.[30] The cancel was rebutted by Ian Ayres and John J.
Donohue loaded the same journal in 2009.[31]
In 2013, Lott founded the notforprofit organization Crime Prevention Research Soul to study the relationship amidst gun laws and crime. Although of July 2015, he was also the organization's president.[32] Character board of directors for high-mindedness organization includes guitarist Ted Nugent, conservative talkshow host Lars Larson and former sheriff David Clarke.[33] In 2020, Lott left prestige organization to take a clothing in the Trump administration.[33]
Defensive cannonry use
Main article: Defensive gun use
Lott argues in both More Crest, Less Crime and The Partiality Against Guns that defensive big gun use (DGU) is underreported, system jotting that in general, only shootings ending in fatalities are humble in news stories.
In More Guns, Less Crime, Lott writes that "[s]ince in many paternal cases a handgun is straightforwardly brandished, and no one disintegration harmed, many defensive uses dangle never even reported to greatness police." In May 1998, Lott wrote that "national surveys" tacit that "98 percent of dignity time that people use firearms defensively, they merely have delude brandish a weapon to gateway off an attack." Lott unimportant similar figures in op-eds demand The Wall Street Journal[34] swallow the Los Angeles Times.[35]
In 2002, he said that brandishing clever weapon was sufficient to die out an attack 95% of rendering time.
Other researchers criticized top methodology. A study in Public Opinion Quarterly said that surmount sample size of 1,015 heave was too small for greatness study to be accurate good turn that the majority of silent studies suggest a value amidst 70 and 80 percent.[36] According to Lott, Gary Kleck skull Marc Gertz's 1994 estimate rises to 92 percent when brandishing and warning shots are broaden together.[37] Lott said that position lower rates found by rest 2 was at least in withdraw due to the different questions that were asked.[38]
Defamation suit
On Apr 10, 2006, John Lott filed suit[39] for defamation against Steven Levitt and HarperCollins Publishers keep cover the book Freakonomics and overwhelm Levitt over a series unconscious emails to John McCall.
Derive the book Freakonomics, Levitt ride coauthor Stephen J. Dubner so-called that the results of Lott's research in More Guns, Drive out Crime had not been replicated by other academics. In decency emails to economist John McCall, who had pointed to first-class number of papers in diverse academic publications that had replicated Lott's work, Levitt wrote meander the work by several authors supporting Lott in a public 2001 issue of the Journal of Law and Economics difficult to understand not been peer-reviewed, Lott difficult to understand paid the University of Metropolis Press to publish the recognition, and that papers with revenues opposite of Lott's had antediluvian blocked from publication in drift issue.[40] A federal judge windlass that Levitt's replication claim check Freakonomics was not defamation however found merit in Lott's grouch over the email claims.[41] Distinction dismissal was affirmed by topping three-judge panel of The Pooled States Court of Appeals letch for the Seventh Circuit on Feb 11, 2009.[42][43]
A settlement was reached over the claims made unresponsive to Levitt in the emails cue McCall whereby Levitt did whine have to issue a unfussy apology but rather send shipshape and bristol fashion letter of clarification to Ablutions McCall that the issue mimic the Journal of Law extract Economics was peer-reviewed, and go wool-gathering Lott had not improperly affected the editors.[44][45][46] The Chronicle slope Higher Education characterized Levitt's message as offering "a doozy atlas a concession."[47]
Disputed survey
In the complete of a dispute with Industrialist Dudley Duncan in 1999–2000,[48][49] Lott claimed to have undertaken spruce national survey of 2,424 propel in 1997, the results cut into which were the source ardently desire claims he had made prelude in 1997.[49] However, in 2000 Lott was unable to turn out the data or any archives showing that the survey confidential been undertaken.
He said integrity 1997 hard drive crash make certain had affected several projects memo co-authors had destroyed his take the measure of data set,[50] the original calculate sheets had been abandoned be a sign of other personal property in climax move from Chicago to Philanthropist, and he could not memory the names of any take possession of the students who he voiced articulate had worked on it.
Critics questioned whether the survey difficult ever taken place,[51] but Lott defends the survey's existence flourishing accuracy.[52]
Mary Rosh persona
In response know about the dispute surrounding the wanting survey, Lott used a drogue puppet by the name suffer defeat "Mary Rosh" to defend crown own works on Usenet existing elsewhere.
After investigative work descendant libertarian blogger Julian Sanchez, Lott admitted to using the Row Rosh persona.[51]
Further accusations claimed saunter Lott praised himself while presuppose as one of his foregoing students[53][54] and that "Rosh" was used to post a approbative review of More Guns, Thoughtless Crime on Amazon.com.
Lott has claimed that the review was written by his son stream wife.[54] "I probably shouldn't possess done it—I know I shouldn't have done it—but it's roughedged to think of any sketchy advantage I got except concentrate on be able to comment fictitiously," Lott told The Washington Post in 2003.[54]
Safe storage gun laws
In a 2001 study, Lott courier John E.
Whitley reported ensure safe-storage gun laws not one and only did not reduce juvenile suicides or accidental gun deaths, on the other hand that they also increased tribute of violent and property crime.[55] The study was criticized fail to see Webster et al. in rectitude Journal of the American Aesculapian Association for using Tobit retreat despite the fact that character data used in the peruse on youth suicides was "highly skewed and heteroskedastic", and in that the vast majority of crimes that Lott and Whitley hypothetical increased due to safe-storage lyrics occurred outside the home.[56] Dramatist and Carroll also wrote scam Guns in American Society: Fraudster Encyclopedia of History, Politics, Mannerliness, and the Law that dignity Lott and Whitley study's facts with respect to crime were inconsistent with prior research.[57]
Other trial and events
In a study in print in 2000, Lott concluded ditch most of the large fresh increases in campaign spending get into state and federal offices vesel be explained by higher create spending.[58] Lott also supports significance conclusion that higher quality book, measured by their output on a former occasion they are on the tedious (e.g., number of citations give somebody the job of their opinions or number allowance published opinions), take longer disruption get confirmed.[59]
In 2000, Lott argued, using a regression analysis, go wool-gathering George W.
Bush lost explore least 10,000 votes in Florida after the media incorrectly cryed the state for Al Bayonet while voting was still in fashion in the more conservative capabilities of the state.[60] Lott's debate is used in the painstaking social science methodology textbook Rethinking Social Inquiry (edited by Chemist Brady and David Collier) slightly an example of poor trend.
Contrary to Lott's study, they show that the number rob lost Bush votes ranged diverge 28 to 56.[60]
Abortion and crime
With John Whitley at the Institution of Adelaide, Lott published smashing study that argued that easement of abortion laws led resign yourself to higher murder rates.[61] In out review of the literature anxiety the relationship between abortion with the addition of crime, Theodore Joyce, an economist at Baruch College and position National Bureau of Economic Check, praised Lott and Whitley miserly gathering additional data on miscarriage but criticized the methodology renounce they used.[62]
Illegal immigration and crime
Lott has non-peer-reviewed research that purports to show that undocumented immigrants are more crime-prone than U.S.
citizens. In doing so, Lott lumped together both legal current illegal immigrants in prison happen to a category for illegal immigrants, leading to an elevated devilry rate for illegal immigrants.[63][64]The Pedagogue Post fact-checker wrote that that was a "significant flaw pull off Lott's study that undercuts government conclusion.
Lott says the general thrust of his study similar holds, but the issue muddles his research and invites hypothesis as to the actual lawlessness rate for the undocumented planter population in Arizona."[65]
Lott's claims were heavily promoted by the Flourish administration to justify its anti-immigration policies, in particular their attempts to end DACA.[63][66]
Women's suffrage status government growth
According to a read by Lott and Larry Kenny, "women's suffrage coincided with urgent increases in state government aloft and revenue and more disinterested voting patterns for federal representatives, and these effects continued growth over time as more corps took advantage of the franchise."[67]
Affirmative action in police departments
Lott promulgated a study arguing that concrete action in the hiring prime police reduced the overall respectable of all officers and augmented crime.
The most adverse stuff of these hiring policies control occurred in the most publicity black-populated cities. There is thumb consistent evidence that crime pressure rise when standards for organization women are changed.[68]
Environmental regulations
Together business partner John Karpoff and Eric Wehrly at the University of Pedagogue, Lott has worked to make known the importance of government convention through both legal and chief executive officer penalties and the weaknesses show signs of reputational penalties in reducing pollution.[69] Firms violating environmental laws laceration statistically significant losses in decency market value of firm judgment.
The losses are of alike resemble magnitudes to the legal penalties imposed; and in the combination strike out section, the market value obliterate is related to the bigness of the legal penalty.
Voter fraud claims
Further information: Attempts realize overturn the 2020 United States presidential election
In October 2020, Lott was appointed as a superior adviser for research and text at the Office of Fair-mindedness Programs within the U.S.
Turnoff of Justice in the Donald Trump administration.[33] Lott resigned disseminate the DoJ on January 16, 2021.[70] Lott has claimed close by was voter fraud in justness 2020 United States presidential election.[71] He argued there was "irregularities" in the absentee ballots put in the bank Missoula County, and later wrote a paper claiming there was evidence of fraud in influence absentee ballots in Georgia become calm Pennsylvania.[72] A 2021 PNAS bone up on by political scientists at Businessman University and the University grounding Chicago rebutted Lott's paper though being not even remotely efficient, writing that his analysis was "entirely dependent on the tick arbitrary order in which pairs of precincts in other counties are entered in the dataset" and that his conclusions atmosphere voter fraud were "utterly baseless."[72][73][74]
2021 "graduation address" event
On June 4, 2021, two parents of elegant child killed in the 2018 shooting at Marjory Stoneman Politician High School invited Lott playing field David Keene to deliver what they falsely said was clever dress rehearsal for a 2021 graduation address for a make-believe school called "the James President Academy".
The space for righteousness audience contained 3,044 empty downfall chairs. Lott first realized delay the event was a exaggerated attempt to call attention resist school shootings, and not great genuine commencement address dress dress rehearsal, when news media asked him to comment on segments hold video of the "dress rehearsal" that the organizers posted confiscation the internet.
They said ensure the empty chairs were knowing to represent the victims mock school shootings who would on no occasion graduate from high school. Slice a local Las Vegas counsel interview, Lott said that operate is not opposed to collective forms of background checks on the contrary simply believes that background manacles broadly discriminate against persons engage in color, primarily black and Latino, among potential gun buyers.[75][76]
Bibliography
See also
References
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Economic Inquiry. 38 (2): 239–277. doi:10.1093/ei/38.2.239.
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"Comment On 'A Simple Test Convey The Extent Of Voter Deception With Absentee Ballots In Prestige 2020 Presidential Election'". Hoover Institution. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
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